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Physix Frontier · News Briefing Card (enbrief · Oct 3, 2026)

Carnegie China Releases AI Talent Tracker 3.0

KEY FACTS

  • Carnegie China released AI Talent Tracker 3.0, succeeding the MacroPolo project that ceased operations in 2025.
  • The study samples NeurIPS paper authors; the 2025 conference accepted 5,823 papers with 25,677 authors in total.
  • The new edition used AI tools to process data on over 10,000 authors, about 40% of the total, a larger sample than previous editions.
  • The report says China and the US are widening their lead in producing and attracting AI talent, Asia excluding China is rising, and Europe is declining.
  • 2022 data shows 46% of AI talent works in the US and 27% works in China.

KEY DATA

5823篇2025 NeurIPS accepted papers
25677人2025 NeurIPS total paper authors
超10000人New edition author sample size
46%2022 US AI talent share

PHYSIX OBSERVATION

Using NeurIPS authors as a talent bellwether, the method has continued for six years, but the sample covers only top-conference elites and may not represent the full industry. The notable signal is this: the report used AI tools to process 40% of author data, meaning the research itself is being reshaped by AI. The China-US talent contest remains largely a one-way flow, and Europe's fall behind means the global AI talent map is accelerating toward bipolar convergence.

Source: enbrief original report ↗